Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including Environment Canada and GFS guidance points to a September 8 high temperature near 23°C in Toronto under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly or southeasterly flow. This setup favors modest daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover that reduces incoming solar radiation, while preventing significant cooling from northerly advection. Differentiation among 23–25°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and whether any weak warm-air advection strengthens; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 25°C, whereas thicker overcast would cap readings closer to 23°C. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to these central values given the stable short-range model agreement and the date’s climatological average high of 23.5°C, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日多伦多气温最高？
9月8日多伦多气温最高？
24°C 40%
25°C 30%
23°C 16%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 30%
23°C 16%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
19°C或以下
$185 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
3%
21°C
$20 交易量
3%
22°C
$254 交易量
5%
23°C
$274 交易量
16%
24°C
$418 交易量
40%
25°C
$147 交易量
30%
26°C
$109 交易量
8%
27°C
$27 交易量
4%
28°C
$24 交易量
2%
29°C或更高
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including Environment Canada and GFS guidance points to a September 8 high temperature near 23°C in Toronto under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly or southeasterly flow. This setup favors modest daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover that reduces incoming solar radiation, while preventing significant cooling from northerly advection. Differentiation among 23–25°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and whether any weak warm-air advection strengthens; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 25°C, whereas thicker overcast would cap readings closer to 23°C. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to these central values given the stable short-range model agreement and the date’s climatological average high of 23.5°C, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,630结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including Environment Canada and GFS guidance points to a September 8 high temperature near 23°C in Toronto under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly or southeasterly flow. This setup favors modest daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover that reduces incoming solar radiation, while preventing significant cooling from northerly advection. Differentiation among 23–25°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and whether any weak warm-air advection strengthens; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 25°C, whereas thicker overcast would cap readings closer to 23°C. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to these central values given the stable short-range model agreement and the date’s climatological average high of 23.5°C, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,630结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including Environment Canada and GFS guidance points to a September 8 high temperature near 23°C in Toronto under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly or southeasterly flow. This setup favors modest daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover that reduces incoming solar radiation, while preventing significant cooling from northerly advection. Differentiation among 23–25°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and whether any weak warm-air advection strengthens; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 25°C, whereas thicker overcast would cap readings closer to 23°C. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to these central values given the stable short-range model agreement and the date’s climatological average high of 23.5°C, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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