Recent cold frontal passage has driven sharp cooling across São Paulo, with observed minima near 7–9 °C on 6–7 September amid persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Forecasts for the 8 September overnight low now diverge sharply: some guidance shows gradual warming to 11–12 °C under increasing easterly winds and partial clearing, while others keep the minimum near or below 8 °C if cloud cover lingers and cold-air advection persists. This spread across ensemble members produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 7 °C or below, and 17 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and regional observations, as even modest shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of clearing can swing the recorded minimum by several degrees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日圣保罗最低温度？
9月8日圣保罗最低温度？
17°C或以上 62%
7°C或以下 61%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
61%
8°C
9%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
35%
13°C
28%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
8%
17°C或以上
62%
17°C或以上 62%
7°C或以下 61%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
61%
8°C
$0 交易量
9%
9°C
$0 交易量
10%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$6 交易量
35%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
47%
15°C
$0 交易量
47%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold frontal passage has driven sharp cooling across São Paulo, with observed minima near 7–9 °C on 6–7 September amid persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Forecasts for the 8 September overnight low now diverge sharply: some guidance shows gradual warming to 11–12 °C under increasing easterly winds and partial clearing, while others keep the minimum near or below 8 °C if cloud cover lingers and cold-air advection persists. This spread across ensemble members produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 7 °C or below, and 17 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and regional observations, as even modest shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of clearing can swing the recorded minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold frontal passage has driven sharp cooling across São Paulo, with observed minima near 7–9 °C on 6–7 September amid persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Forecasts for the 8 September overnight low now diverge sharply: some guidance shows gradual warming to 11–12 °C under increasing easterly winds and partial clearing, while others keep the minimum near or below 8 °C if cloud cover lingers and cold-air advection persists. This spread across ensemble members produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 7 °C or below, and 17 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and regional observations, as even modest shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of clearing can swing the recorded minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETRecent cold frontal passage has driven sharp cooling across São Paulo, with observed minima near 7–9 °C on 6–7 September amid persistent southeast flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Forecasts for the 8 September overnight low now diverge sharply: some guidance shows gradual warming to 11–12 °C under increasing easterly winds and partial clearing, while others keep the minimum near or below 8 °C if cloud cover lingers and cold-air advection persists. This spread across ensemble members produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 7 °C or below, and 17 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and regional observations, as even modest shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of clearing can swing the recorded minimum by several degrees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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