Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Climatempo indicate a daily maximum near 19–20°C for São Paulo on September 8, shaped by a polar air mass advected behind a cold front that crossed the region on September 5–7. Persistent southeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited insolation are suppressing daytime warming below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate surface temperatures. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture; updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further. Market-implied probabilities clustered on 20–22°C reflect traders weighting this near-term atmospheric setup against residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月8日圣保罗的最高温度？
21°C 26%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
26%
22°C
24%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C或以上
1%
21°C 26%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$117 交易量
7%
17°C
$56 交易量
3%
18°C
$27 交易量
10%
19°C
$147 交易量
9%
20°C
$110 交易量
25%
21°C
$2 交易量
26%
22°C
$122 交易量
24%
23°C
$6 交易量
5%
24°C
$57 交易量
4%
25°C或以上
$76 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Climatempo indicate a daily maximum near 19–20°C for São Paulo on September 8, shaped by a polar air mass advected behind a cold front that crossed the region on September 5–7. Persistent southeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited insolation are suppressing daytime warming below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate surface temperatures. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture; updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further. Market-implied probabilities clustered on 20–22°C reflect traders weighting this near-term atmospheric setup against residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$720结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Climatempo indicate a daily maximum near 19–20°C for São Paulo on September 8, shaped by a polar air mass advected behind a cold front that crossed the region on September 5–7. Persistent southeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited insolation are suppressing daytime warming below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate surface temperatures. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture; updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further. Market-implied probabilities clustered on 20–22°C reflect traders weighting this near-term atmospheric setup against residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$720结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Climatempo indicate a daily maximum near 19–20°C for São Paulo on September 8, shaped by a polar air mass advected behind a cold front that crossed the region on September 5–7. Persistent southeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited insolation are suppressing daytime warming below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate surface temperatures. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture; updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further. Market-implied probabilities clustered on 20–22°C reflect traders weighting this near-term atmospheric setup against residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题