**Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low for Miami on September 6, with 89.5% implied probability aligning closely with National Weather Service forecasts of upper-70s overnight temperatures.** Persistent high humidity, dew points near 75°F, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiational cooling under light southwest winds. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show minimums of 75-78°F over the prior five days amid similar subtropical conditions, with no cold front or drier air mass arriving to drive sharper drops. Model guidance maintains this range through the night, though any unexpected clearing could allow brief dips toward 74-75°F. The market's tight clustering around 76-77°F reflects the strong alignment between current atmospheric observations and climatological norms for early September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日迈阿密最低气温?
76-77°F 90%
74-75华氏度 8%
72-73°F 6%
71°F或以下 2.0%
$9,936 交易量
$9,936 交易量
71°F或以下
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75华氏度
8%
76-77°F
90%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
华氏90度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 90%
74-75华氏度 8%
72-73°F 6%
71°F或以下 2.0%
$9,936 交易量
$9,936 交易量
71°F或以下
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75华氏度
8%
76-77°F
90%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
华氏90度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low for Miami on September 6, with 89.5% implied probability aligning closely with National Weather Service forecasts of upper-70s overnight temperatures.** Persistent high humidity, dew points near 75°F, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiational cooling under light southwest winds. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show minimums of 75-78°F over the prior five days amid similar subtropical conditions, with no cold front or drier air mass arriving to drive sharper drops. Model guidance maintains this range through the night, though any unexpected clearing could allow brief dips toward 74-75°F. The market's tight clustering around 76-77°F reflects the strong alignment between current atmospheric observations and climatological norms for early September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题