**Clear, calm conditions overnight under a strong high-pressure system are driving the near-certain market consensus around an 8°C minimum.** Recent model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show radiative cooling overnight with dew points near 9–10°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, producing a low of 8°C consistent with climatological August nighttime minima for Cape Town. Official observations through the evening have tracked closely to these projections, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or stronger winds develop before dawn, reducing cooling and pushing the minimum to 9°C or higher, though current data indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日开普敦最低气温?
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$6,277 交易量
$6,277 交易量
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$6,277 交易量
$6,277 交易量
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Clear, calm conditions overnight under a strong high-pressure system are driving the near-certain market consensus around an 8°C minimum.** Recent model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show radiative cooling overnight with dew points near 9–10°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, producing a low of 8°C consistent with climatological August nighttime minima for Cape Town. Official observations through the evening have tracked closely to these projections, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or stronger winds develop before dawn, reducing cooling and pushing the minimum to 9°C or higher, though current data indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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