Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, moderate southerly winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the region's typical winter inversion patterns. Historical August lows average around 10–11°C, but recent high-pressure dominance has kept conditions slightly milder with dew points near 10°C and negligible precipitation. Trader sentiment remains split among sub-8°C, 10–11°C, and 12°C outcomes due to minor model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and potential microclimate variations at official stations. Final resolution hinges on the lowest hourly reading before sunrise, with any strengthening winds or increased cloud cover likely to moderate the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日开普敦最低气温?
11°C 37%
7°C或更低 37%
10°C 22%
9°C 20%
7°C或更低
37%
8°C
10%
9°C
20%
10°C
22%
11°C
31%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C或更高
1%
11°C 37%
7°C或更低 37%
10°C 22%
9°C 20%
7°C或更低
37%
8°C
10%
9°C
20%
10°C
22%
11°C
31%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, moderate southerly winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the region's typical winter inversion patterns. Historical August lows average around 10–11°C, but recent high-pressure dominance has kept conditions slightly milder with dew points near 10°C and negligible precipitation. Trader sentiment remains split among sub-8°C, 10–11°C, and 12°C outcomes due to minor model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and potential microclimate variations at official stations. Final resolution hinges on the lowest hourly reading before sunrise, with any strengthening winds or increased cloud cover likely to moderate the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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