Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate southerly flow associated with high pressure, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 19°C (46.5%) and 18°C (25.5%). Late-winter climatology at Cape Town International Airport shows a typical August 24 high near 17°C, yet current guidance indicates slightly warmer conditions from reduced cloud cover and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air. No significant model divergence or incoming fronts are evident in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band while lower outcomes remain possible only if stronger onshore flow develops overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日开普敦气温最高?
19°C 46%
18°C 26%
20°C 17%
17°C 7%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
46%
20°C
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 46%
18°C 26%
20°C 17%
17°C 7%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
46%
20°C
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate southerly flow associated with high pressure, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 19°C (46.5%) and 18°C (25.5%). Late-winter climatology at Cape Town International Airport shows a typical August 24 high near 17°C, yet current guidance indicates slightly warmer conditions from reduced cloud cover and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air. No significant model divergence or incoming fronts are evident in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band while lower outcomes remain possible only if stronger onshore flow develops overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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