Traders assign the highest probability to a peak of 19°C (47%) in Cape Town on August 23 because official South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models show a strong South Atlantic High dominating the region, producing mostly clear skies and moderate southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current. These conditions favor daytime heating yet limit it through persistent morning mist and advection of marine air, keeping maxima near long-term August averages of 17–18°C. Recent model consensus indicates little change through the day, with only modest afternoon warming possible under light winds. The market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C (83% combined) reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the narrow range of expected outcomes once fog burns off.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日开普敦气温最高？
8月23日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 63%
20°C 40%
21°C 8%
18°C 6%
$15,381 交易量
$15,381 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
63%
20°C
40%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 63%
20°C 40%
21°C 8%
18°C 6%
$15,381 交易量
$15,381 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
14°C
$94 交易量
<1%
15°C
$753 交易量
<1%
16°C
$991 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,667 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,694 交易量
6%
19°C
$1,775 交易量
63%
20°C
$2,200 交易量
40%
21°C
$2,339 交易量
8%
22°C
$2,319 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$1,298 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a peak of 19°C (47%) in Cape Town on August 23 because official South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models show a strong South Atlantic High dominating the region, producing mostly clear skies and moderate southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current. These conditions favor daytime heating yet limit it through persistent morning mist and advection of marine air, keeping maxima near long-term August averages of 17–18°C. Recent model consensus indicates little change through the day, with only modest afternoon warming possible under light winds. The market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C (83% combined) reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the narrow range of expected outcomes once fog burns off.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,381结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a peak of 19°C (47%) in Cape Town on August 23 because official South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models show a strong South Atlantic High dominating the region, producing mostly clear skies and moderate southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current. These conditions favor daytime heating yet limit it through persistent morning mist and advection of marine air, keeping maxima near long-term August averages of 17–18°C. Recent model consensus indicates little change through the day, with only modest afternoon warming possible under light winds. The market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C (83% combined) reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the narrow range of expected outcomes once fog burns off.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,381结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTraders assign the highest probability to a peak of 19°C (47%) in Cape Town on August 23 because official South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models show a strong South Atlantic High dominating the region, producing mostly clear skies and moderate southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current. These conditions favor daytime heating yet limit it through persistent morning mist and advection of marine air, keeping maxima near long-term August averages of 17–18°C. Recent model consensus indicates little change through the day, with only modest afternoon warming possible under light winds. The market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C (83% combined) reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the narrow range of expected outcomes once fog burns off.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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