Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Busan on September 20 under building high pressure following rain on the 18th, with northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph. These conditions promote radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20°C—typical for the season but sensitive to exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and marine air influence. Trader sentiment splits between the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in model guidance on timing of clearing or local urban heat effects could push the official low across key thresholds, while mid-range outcomes like 19–21°C align with current consensus runs yet carry lower implied probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Administration guidance and evening model releases will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日釜山气温最低?
25°C或更高 94%
15°C或以下 83%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
15°C或以下
83%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
19%
22°C
37%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C或更高
94%
25°C或更高 94%
15°C或以下 83%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
15°C或以下
83%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
19%
22°C
37%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C或更高
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Busan on September 20 under building high pressure following rain on the 18th, with northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph. These conditions promote radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20°C—typical for the season but sensitive to exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and marine air influence. Trader sentiment splits between the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in model guidance on timing of clearing or local urban heat effects could push the official low across key thresholds, while mid-range outcomes like 19–21°C align with current consensus runs yet carry lower implied probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Administration guidance and evening model releases will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题