Trader consensus for Tel Aviv's August 25 maximum centers on 33°C (55.5%) because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, project a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern of clear skies under subtropical high pressure, yielding daytime peaks near 32–33°C with modest sea-breeze moderation. Current 14-day forecasts from timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate highs around 32–33°C (92°F), consistent with August climatology that rarely exceeds 34°C absent heat-wave advection. The 34°C outcome (26.5%) captures residual model spread and potential for slight warming if offshore flow strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts or extreme-heat signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of the next model cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Tel Aviv's August 25 maximum centers on 33°C (55.5%) because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, project a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern of clear skies under subtropical high pressure, yielding daytime peaks near 32–33°C with modest sea-breeze moderation. Current 14-day forecasts from timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate highs around 32–33°C (92°F), consistent with August climatology that rarely exceeds 34°C absent heat-wave advection. The 34°C outcome (26.5%) captures residual model spread and potential for slight warming if offshore flow strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts or extreme-heat signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of the next model cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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