Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
32°C 66%
31°C 30%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
$14,396 交易量
$14,396 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
30%
32°C
66%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
31°C 30%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
$14,396 交易量
$14,396 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
$1,442 交易量
<1%
29°C
$576 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,341 交易量
2%
31°C
$2,553 交易量
30%
32°C
$3,713 交易量
66%
33°C
$1,318 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,013 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,261 交易量
<1%
36°C
$311 交易量
<1%
37°C
$326 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,396结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,396结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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