Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 80–81°F on August 17, 2026, under light southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limited daytime heating. This outcome aligns with short-range model consensus and ensemble guidance issued in the preceding 24–48 hours, which consistently projected temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s without significant warm-air advection or strong insolation. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a different station selection for resolution, though such adjustments are infrequent once preliminary observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月17日的最高温度？
纽约市8月17日的最高温度？
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$235,289 交易量
$235,289 交易量
2026-08-17
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$235,289 交易量
$235,289 交易量
2026-08-17
75°F or below
$28,478 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$41,321 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$40,502 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$27,019 交易量
100%
82-83°F
$26,542 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$40,410 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$13,657 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$11,018 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$5,333 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$406 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$603 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 80–81°F on August 17, 2026, under light southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limited daytime heating. This outcome aligns with short-range model consensus and ensemble guidance issued in the preceding 24–48 hours, which consistently projected temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s without significant warm-air advection or strong insolation. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a different station selection for resolution, though such adjustments are infrequent once preliminary observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$235,289结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 80–81°F on August 17, 2026, under light southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limited daytime heating. This outcome aligns with short-range model consensus and ensemble guidance issued in the preceding 24–48 hours, which consistently projected temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s without significant warm-air advection or strong insolation. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a different station selection for resolution, though such adjustments are infrequent once preliminary observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$235,289结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 80–81°F on August 17, 2026, under light southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limited daytime heating. This outcome aligns with short-range model consensus and ensemble guidance issued in the preceding 24–48 hours, which consistently projected temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s without significant warm-air advection or strong insolation. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a different station selection for resolution, though such adjustments are infrequent once preliminary observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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