Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including INMET and international ensembles project São Paulo maximum temperatures near 29–32°C on August 19 under stable high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions suppress cloud formation and allow strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island, pushing readings above the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting low precipitation risk and limited variability in steering patterns. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月19日圣保罗的最高温度？
31°C 39%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
39%
32°C
33%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
$5 交易量
<1%
27°C
$27 交易量
1%
28°C
$54 交易量
3%
29°C
$30 交易量
3%
30°C
$192 交易量
17%
31°C
$221 交易量
39%
32°C
$45 交易量
33%
33°C
$0 交易量
8%
34°C
$3 交易量
5%
35°C
$5 交易量
5%
36°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including INMET and international ensembles project São Paulo maximum temperatures near 29–32°C on August 19 under stable high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions suppress cloud formation and allow strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island, pushing readings above the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting low precipitation risk and limited variability in steering patterns. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$334结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including INMET and international ensembles project São Paulo maximum temperatures near 29–32°C on August 19 under stable high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions suppress cloud formation and allow strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island, pushing readings above the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting low precipitation risk and limited variability in steering patterns. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$334结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from sources including INMET and international ensembles project São Paulo maximum temperatures near 29–32°C on August 19 under stable high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions suppress cloud formation and allow strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island, pushing readings above the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting low precipitation risk and limited variability in steering patterns. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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