Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日迈阿密气温最高？
8月19日迈阿密气温最高？
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
3%
106°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
87°F or below
$5 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
15%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
5%
94-95°F
$7 交易量
20%
96-97°F
$17 交易量
43%
98-99°F
$46 交易量
23%
100-101°F
$10 交易量
8%
102-103°F
$5 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
3%
106°F或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETForecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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