**Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on August 18, 2026, centers on 34–35 °C** as the most probable outcomes, with official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting a daily maximum of 28–35 °C and a 60% chance of precipitation. This range aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with easterly winds, allowing daytime heating to push temperatures into the mid-30s before scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. These convective cells often limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why 33 °C retains notable probability while 36 °C+ remains a low-probability tail risk. Key scientific differentiators include the strength and timing of the sea breeze or monsoon flow, urban heat-island amplification in the Taipei basin, and exact solar insolation before any rain arrives. Stronger or earlier showers favor the lower end of the distribution, whereas prolonged sunshine and lighter winds support the upper end near 35 °C. With the day underway, traders are weighting the latest CWA guidance and observational trends heavily in this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日台北气温最高？
8月18日台北气温最高？
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
33°C 23%
36°C 5%
最新
$51,253 交易量
最新
$51,253 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
23%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
33°C 23%
36°C 5%
最新
$51,253 交易量
最新
$51,253 交易量
2026-08-18
28°C or below
$382 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,678 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,548 交易量
<1%
31°C
$7,762 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,151 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,742 交易量
23%
34°C
$5,063 交易量
39%
35°C
$2,586 交易量
39%
36°C
$4,592 交易量
5%
37°C
$3,917 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$5,832 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on August 18, 2026, centers on 34–35 °C** as the most probable outcomes, with official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting a daily maximum of 28–35 °C and a 60% chance of precipitation. This range aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and frequent afternoon convection.
Recent model consensus and real-time observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with easterly winds, allowing daytime heating to push temperatures into the mid-30s before scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. These convective cells often limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why 33 °C retains notable probability while 36 °C+ remains a low-probability tail risk.
Key scientific differentiators include the strength and timing of the sea breeze or monsoon flow, urban heat-island amplification in the Taipei basin, and exact solar insolation before any rain arrives. Stronger or earlier showers favor the lower end of the distribution, whereas prolonged sunshine and lighter winds support the upper end near 35 °C. With the day underway, traders are weighting the latest CWA guidance and observational trends heavily in this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$51,253结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on August 18, 2026, centers on 34–35 °C** as the most probable outcomes, with official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting a daily maximum of 28–35 °C and a 60% chance of precipitation. This range aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and frequent afternoon convection.
Recent model consensus and real-time observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with easterly winds, allowing daytime heating to push temperatures into the mid-30s before scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. These convective cells often limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why 33 °C retains notable probability while 36 °C+ remains a low-probability tail risk.
Key scientific differentiators include the strength and timing of the sea breeze or monsoon flow, urban heat-island amplification in the Taipei basin, and exact solar insolation before any rain arrives. Stronger or earlier showers favor the lower end of the distribution, whereas prolonged sunshine and lighter winds support the upper end near 35 °C. With the day underway, traders are weighting the latest CWA guidance and observational trends heavily in this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,253结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on August 18, 2026, centers on 34–35 °C** as the most probable outcomes, with official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting a daily maximum of 28–35 °C and a 60% chance of precipitation. This range aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with easterly winds, allowing daytime heating to push temperatures into the mid-30s before scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. These convective cells often limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why 33 °C retains notable probability while 36 °C+ remains a low-probability tail risk. Key scientific differentiators include the strength and timing of the sea breeze or monsoon flow, urban heat-island amplification in the Taipei basin, and exact solar insolation before any rain arrives. Stronger or earlier showers favor the lower end of the distribution, whereas prolonged sunshine and lighter winds support the upper end near 35 °C. With the day underway, traders are weighting the latest CWA guidance and observational trends heavily in this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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