Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日武汉气温最高？
8月18日武汉气温最高？
35°C 45%
36°C 45%
34°C 15%
37°C 2.1%
最新
$22,435 交易量
最新
$22,435 交易量
2026-08-18
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
18%
35°C
38%
36°C
39%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 45%
34°C 15%
37°C 2.1%
最新
$22,435 交易量
最新
$22,435 交易量
2026-08-18
29°C or below
$118 交易量
<1%
30°C
$118 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,190 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,000 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,167 交易量
2%
34°C
$4,165 交易量
18%
35°C
$3,084 交易量
38%
36°C
$1,772 交易量
39%
37°C
$2,811 交易量
2%
38°C
$2,332 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$677 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$22,435结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,435结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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