Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日成都气温最高？
8月18日成都气温最高？
23°C 47%
24°C 39%
25°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
最新
$51,821 交易量
最新
$51,821 交易量
2026-08-18
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
54%
24°C
39%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 39%
25°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
最新
$51,821 交易量
最新
$51,821 交易量
2026-08-18
20°C or below
$635 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,809 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,725 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10,799 交易量
54%
24°C
$7,077 交易量
39%
25°C
$3,292 交易量
7%
26°C
$3,870 交易量
3%
27°C
$4,680 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,201 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,586 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$51,821结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,821结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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