Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including National Weather Service automated surface observing systems, recorded a daily maximum of 78-79°F on August 17 under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no anomalous warming. This verified measurement aligns exactly with the market-implied consensus at near-100% probability, reflecting post-event resolution rather than forecast uncertainty. Historical climatological averages for mid-August highs in the region hover near 82°F, making this outcome slightly below baseline but consistent with observed data. Minor revisions remain possible only if quality-control adjustments occur in official archives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月17日的最高温度？
芝加哥8月17日的最高温度？
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,206 交易量
$36,206 交易量
2026-08-17
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,206 交易量
$36,206 交易量
2026-08-17
73°F或以下
$2,264 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$4,341 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$7,851 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$5,513 交易量
100%
80-81°F
$5,443 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$3,688 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$2,786 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$2,498 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$955 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$448 交易量
<1%
92°F或更高
$578 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including National Weather Service automated surface observing systems, recorded a daily maximum of 78-79°F on August 17 under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no anomalous warming. This verified measurement aligns exactly with the market-implied consensus at near-100% probability, reflecting post-event resolution rather than forecast uncertainty. Historical climatological averages for mid-August highs in the region hover near 82°F, making this outcome slightly below baseline but consistent with observed data. Minor revisions remain possible only if quality-control adjustments occur in official archives.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$36,206结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including National Weather Service automated surface observing systems, recorded a daily maximum of 78-79°F on August 17 under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no anomalous warming. This verified measurement aligns exactly with the market-implied consensus at near-100% probability, reflecting post-event resolution rather than forecast uncertainty. Historical climatological averages for mid-August highs in the region hover near 82°F, making this outcome slightly below baseline but consistent with observed data. Minor revisions remain possible only if quality-control adjustments occur in official archives.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,206结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETOfficial temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including National Weather Service automated surface observing systems, recorded a daily maximum of 78-79°F on August 17 under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no anomalous warming. This verified measurement aligns exactly with the market-implied consensus at near-100% probability, reflecting post-event resolution rather than forecast uncertainty. Historical climatological averages for mid-August highs in the region hover near 82°F, making this outcome slightly below baseline but consistent with observed data. Minor revisions remain possible only if quality-control adjustments occur in official archives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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