Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月19日的最高温度？
芝加哥8月19日的最高温度？
78-79°F 26%
80-81华氏度 26%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
26%
80-81华氏度
26%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
7%
86°F或更高
4%
78-79°F 26%
80-81华氏度 26%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
67°F或更低
$10 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$5 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$10 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81华氏度
$7 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$2 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$10 交易量
7%
86°F或更高
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$49结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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