Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a likely peak temperature near 33°C in Taipei on August 19, consistent with the market's leading implied probability. Seasonal late-summer conditions, including subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover, support daytime highs in the low to mid-30s Celsius, while recent model runs show modest variability from diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. Traders appear to weigh the historical August baseline of 32–34°C against short-term ensemble guidance that favors 33°C over lower or higher extremes. Uncertainty remains due to potential afternoon convection or wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station data the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日台北气温最高？
8月19日台北气温最高？
33°C 39%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
39%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
27°C
$186 交易量
<1%
28°C
$287 交易量
<1%
29°C
$410 交易量
1%
30°C
$307 交易量
3%
31°C
$586 交易量
6%
32°C
$555 交易量
22%
33°C
$1,679 交易量
39%
34°C
$1,693 交易量
22%
35°C
$1,798 交易量
10%
36°C or higher
$308 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a likely peak temperature near 33°C in Taipei on August 19, consistent with the market's leading implied probability. Seasonal late-summer conditions, including subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover, support daytime highs in the low to mid-30s Celsius, while recent model runs show modest variability from diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. Traders appear to weigh the historical August baseline of 32–34°C against short-term ensemble guidance that favors 33°C over lower or higher extremes. Uncertainty remains due to potential afternoon convection or wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station data the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,000结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a likely peak temperature near 33°C in Taipei on August 19, consistent with the market's leading implied probability. Seasonal late-summer conditions, including subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover, support daytime highs in the low to mid-30s Celsius, while recent model runs show modest variability from diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. Traders appear to weigh the historical August baseline of 32–34°C against short-term ensemble guidance that favors 33°C over lower or higher extremes. Uncertainty remains due to potential afternoon convection or wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station data the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,000结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a likely peak temperature near 33°C in Taipei on August 19, consistent with the market's leading implied probability. Seasonal late-summer conditions, including subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover, support daytime highs in the low to mid-30s Celsius, while recent model runs show modest variability from diurnal heating and urban heat island effects. Traders appear to weigh the historical August baseline of 32–34°C against short-term ensemble guidance that favors 33°C over lower or higher extremes. Uncertainty remains due to potential afternoon convection or wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station data the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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