Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 18 project a high near 97°F amid a broader pattern of above-normal warmth across South Florida, with heat indices potentially reaching 110°F due to elevated humidity. This positions the 96-99°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting historical August averages of 89-92°F alongside recent developments like the August 14 record of 96°F that broke a 1909 mark. Model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader expectations for temperatures exceeding climatological baselines, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for typical convective cooling and forecast uncertainty ranges on the day of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日迈阿密气温最高？
8月18日迈阿密气温最高？
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 38%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
最新
$13,768 交易量
最新
$13,768 交易量
2026-08-18
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 38%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
最新
$13,768 交易量
最新
$13,768 交易量
2026-08-18
91°F or below
$127 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,603 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$813 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$3,711 交易量
38%
98-99°F
$3,846 交易量
48%
100-101°F
$2,121 交易量
13%
102-103°F
$863 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$192 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$212 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$140 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 18 project a high near 97°F amid a broader pattern of above-normal warmth across South Florida, with heat indices potentially reaching 110°F due to elevated humidity. This positions the 96-99°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting historical August averages of 89-92°F alongside recent developments like the August 14 record of 96°F that broke a 1909 mark. Model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader expectations for temperatures exceeding climatological baselines, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for typical convective cooling and forecast uncertainty ranges on the day of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,768结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 18 project a high near 97°F amid a broader pattern of above-normal warmth across South Florida, with heat indices potentially reaching 110°F due to elevated humidity. This positions the 96-99°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting historical August averages of 89-92°F alongside recent developments like the August 14 record of 96°F that broke a 1909 mark. Model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader expectations for temperatures exceeding climatological baselines, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for typical convective cooling and forecast uncertainty ranges on the day of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,768结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 18 project a high near 97°F amid a broader pattern of above-normal warmth across South Florida, with heat indices potentially reaching 110°F due to elevated humidity. This positions the 96-99°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting historical August averages of 89-92°F alongside recent developments like the August 14 record of 96°F that broke a 1909 mark. Model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader expectations for temperatures exceeding climatological baselines, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for typical convective cooling and forecast uncertainty ranges on the day of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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