Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August. Sea breezes from the Marmara and Black Sea moderate temperatures, preventing stronger heating despite mostly sunny skies and light winds. This consensus underpins the market’s clustering around 30 °C (44.5 % implied probability), 31 °C (25 %), and 29 °C (21 %), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in numerical guidance against historical August averages near 29 °C. No significant model shifts or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter these leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
30°C 43%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
最新
$34,936 交易量
最新
$34,936 交易量
2026-08-18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
43%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
最新
$34,936 交易量
最新
$34,936 交易量
2026-08-18
24°C or below
$292 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,140 交易量
<1%
26°C
$883 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,738 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,519 交易量
6%
29°C
$5,127 交易量
22%
30°C
$4,613 交易量
43%
31°C
$6,226 交易量
27%
32°C
$2,998 交易量
7%
33°C
$7,158 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$2,243 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August. Sea breezes from the Marmara and Black Sea moderate temperatures, preventing stronger heating despite mostly sunny skies and light winds. This consensus underpins the market’s clustering around 30 °C (44.5 % implied probability), 31 °C (25 %), and 29 °C (21 %), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in numerical guidance against historical August averages near 29 °C. No significant model shifts or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$34,936结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August. Sea breezes from the Marmara and Black Sea moderate temperatures, preventing stronger heating despite mostly sunny skies and light winds. This consensus underpins the market’s clustering around 30 °C (44.5 % implied probability), 31 °C (25 %), and 29 °C (21 %), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in numerical guidance against historical August averages near 29 °C. No significant model shifts or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,936结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August. Sea breezes from the Marmara and Black Sea moderate temperatures, preventing stronger heating despite mostly sunny skies and light winds. This consensus underpins the market’s clustering around 30 °C (44.5 % implied probability), 31 °C (25 %), and 29 °C (21 %), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in numerical guidance against historical August averages near 29 °C. No significant model shifts or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter these leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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