Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日东京气温最低？
8月20日东京气温最低？
25°C 55%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
11%
24°C
31%
25°C
48%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
1%
25°C 55%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C或以下
$9 交易量
1%
21°C
$9 交易量
1%
22°C
$4 交易量
6%
23°C
$4 交易量
11%
24°C
$4 交易量
31%
25°C
$17 交易量
48%
26°C
$16 交易量
14%
27°C
$4 交易量
9%
28°C
$4 交易量
4%
29°C
$4 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$4 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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