Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–35°C for Taipei on August 20, with partly cloudy skies, afternoon thundershowers, and apparent temperatures reaching 38°C amid high humidity. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a peak near 32–33°C (91–91°F), as convective clouds and scattered rain suppress full solar heating and urban heat buildup. This aligns with climatological August averages of 32–34°C while explaining the tight 50% market clustering on 30–33°C outcomes versus minimal pricing on 34°C+. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx over the next 48 hours will determine whether the maximum edges higher or stays capped by precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日台北气温最高?
33°C 35%
34°C 35%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
35%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 35%
34°C 35%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
35%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–35°C for Taipei on August 20, with partly cloudy skies, afternoon thundershowers, and apparent temperatures reaching 38°C amid high humidity. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a peak near 32–33°C (91–91°F), as convective clouds and scattered rain suppress full solar heating and urban heat buildup. This aligns with climatological August averages of 32–34°C while explaining the tight 50% market clustering on 30–33°C outcomes versus minimal pricing on 34°C+. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx over the next 48 hours will determine whether the maximum edges higher or stays capped by precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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