Chongqing's subtropical climate in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity under persistent high pressure, drives the even ~50% market-implied odds across 26–36°C+ outcomes for the August 20 high. Ensemble forecasts show a base around 32–34°C amid overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Short-term model runs exhibit modest spread from steering patterns and moisture influx, with recent days featuring highs near 33–35°C reflecting typical late-August conditions. Traders weigh these variables against climatological averages of 33–34°C highs, awaiting updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations before resolution on the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日重庆气温最高？
8月20日重庆气温最高？
32°C 38%
33°C 33%
31°C 27%
34°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
13%
31°C
27%
32°C
38%
33°C
33%
34°C
25%
35°C
19%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
33°C 33%
31°C 27%
34°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
26°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
27%
32°C
$0 交易量
38%
33°C
$0 交易量
33%
34°C
$15 交易量
25%
35°C
$10 交易量
19%
36°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical climate in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity under persistent high pressure, drives the even ~50% market-implied odds across 26–36°C+ outcomes for the August 20 high. Ensemble forecasts show a base around 32–34°C amid overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Short-term model runs exhibit modest spread from steering patterns and moisture influx, with recent days featuring highs near 33–35°C reflecting typical late-August conditions. Traders weigh these variables against climatological averages of 33–34°C highs, awaiting updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations before resolution on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical climate in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity under persistent high pressure, drives the even ~50% market-implied odds across 26–36°C+ outcomes for the August 20 high. Ensemble forecasts show a base around 32–34°C amid overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Short-term model runs exhibit modest spread from steering patterns and moisture influx, with recent days featuring highs near 33–35°C reflecting typical late-August conditions. Traders weigh these variables against climatological averages of 33–34°C highs, awaiting updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations before resolution on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETChongqing's subtropical climate in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity under persistent high pressure, drives the even ~50% market-implied odds across 26–36°C+ outcomes for the August 20 high. Ensemble forecasts show a base around 32–34°C amid overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Short-term model runs exhibit modest spread from steering patterns and moisture influx, with recent days featuring highs near 33–35°C reflecting typical late-August conditions. Traders weigh these variables against climatological averages of 33–34°C highs, awaiting updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations before resolution on the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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