Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日伦敦最低气温？
8月20日伦敦最低气温？
15°C 47%
16°C 31%
13°C 18%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
17%
15°C
47%
16°C
31%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
1%
15°C 47%
16°C 31%
13°C 18%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
11°C
$0 交易量
1%
12°C
$0 交易量
10%
13°C
$0 交易量
18%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C
$14 交易量
47%
16°C
$25 交易量
31%
17°C
$5 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$49结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETLatest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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