Recent Met Office guidance projects a 19°C overnight minimum for London on August 17 under continued high pressure, with daytime highs near 28°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which control the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling after warm afternoons. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling toward the lower end of the distribution (18°C), while any increase in low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop to 20°C. Historical August climatology sits several degrees cooler, but the current blocking pattern sustains above-average nights. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伦敦最低气温？
8月17日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
17%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
26%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
13°C或以下
$20 交易量
1%
14°C
$5 交易量
5%
15°C
$5 交易量
7%
16°C
$20 交易量
7%
17°C
$82 交易量
17%
18°C
$94 交易量
37%
19°C
$329 交易量
23%
20°C
$638 交易量
26%
21°C
$25 交易量
11%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a 19°C overnight minimum for London on August 17 under continued high pressure, with daytime highs near 28°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which control the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling after warm afternoons. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling toward the lower end of the distribution (18°C), while any increase in low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop to 20°C. Historical August climatology sits several degrees cooler, but the current blocking pattern sustains above-average nights. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,262结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a 19°C overnight minimum for London on August 17 under continued high pressure, with daytime highs near 28°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which control the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling after warm afternoons. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling toward the lower end of the distribution (18°C), while any increase in low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop to 20°C. Historical August climatology sits several degrees cooler, but the current blocking pattern sustains above-average nights. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,262结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance projects a 19°C overnight minimum for London on August 17 under continued high pressure, with daytime highs near 28°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which control the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling after warm afternoons. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling toward the lower end of the distribution (18°C), while any increase in low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop to 20°C. Historical August climatology sits several degrees cooler, but the current blocking pattern sustains above-average nights. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题