Current forecast guidance from MetService and regional models positions Wellington's August 15 maximum near 14–15°C under a mix of southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook. Trader consensus favoring 15°C at 56.5% implied probability reflects the latest model runs showing modest daytime warming ahead of a potential frontal passage, while 14°C at 33% accounts for uncertainty in wind strength and timing of any clearing. Historical August highs average around 13°C, with recent observations confirming stable cool-season patterns rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 57%
14°C 35%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
最新
$37,193 交易量
最新
$37,193 交易量
2026-08-15
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
35%
15°C
57%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 57%
14°C 35%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
最新
$37,193 交易量
最新
$37,193 交易量
2026-08-15
9°C or below
$1,154 交易量
<1%
10°C
$285 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,208 交易量
<1%
12°C
$3,569 交易量
1%
13°C
$7,077 交易量
6%
14°C
$7,584 交易量
35%
15°C
$5,412 交易量
57%
16°C
$6,974 交易量
5%
17°C
$2,712 交易量
1%
18°C
$801 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and regional models positions Wellington's August 15 maximum near 14–15°C under a mix of southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook. Trader consensus favoring 15°C at 56.5% implied probability reflects the latest model runs showing modest daytime warming ahead of a potential frontal passage, while 14°C at 33% accounts for uncertainty in wind strength and timing of any clearing. Historical August highs average around 13°C, with recent observations confirming stable cool-season patterns rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$37,193结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and regional models positions Wellington's August 15 maximum near 14–15°C under a mix of southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook. Trader consensus favoring 15°C at 56.5% implied probability reflects the latest model runs showing modest daytime warming ahead of a potential frontal passage, while 14°C at 33% accounts for uncertainty in wind strength and timing of any clearing. Historical August highs average around 13°C, with recent observations confirming stable cool-season patterns rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,193结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from MetService and regional models positions Wellington's August 15 maximum near 14–15°C under a mix of southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook. Trader consensus favoring 15°C at 56.5% implied probability reflects the latest model runs showing modest daytime warming ahead of a potential frontal passage, while 14°C at 33% accounts for uncertainty in wind strength and timing of any clearing. Historical August highs average around 13°C, with recent observations confirming stable cool-season patterns rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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