**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C for Shenzhen’s August 16 daily maximum, reflecting forecast spreads from official and model sources.** Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near 32°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity; recent model runs and local meteorological bureau guidance show 32°C as the baseline under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, while stronger insolation or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34°C. Thunderstorm timing, cloud cover, and any residual steering influences from upstream systems introduce the main uncertainty, as afternoon convection often caps peaks. Historical August variability and current ensemble spreads support the narrow probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the final verified observation from Shenzhen’s official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日深圳气温最高？
8月16日深圳气温最高？
33°C 33%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
24%
33°C
33%
34°C
22%
35°C
13%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
$201 交易量
<1%
28°C
$45 交易量
<1%
29°C
$79 交易量
1%
30°C
$9 交易量
5%
31°C
$3 交易量
10%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$35 交易量
33%
34°C
$41 交易量
22%
35°C
$3 交易量
13%
36°C
$107 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C for Shenzhen’s August 16 daily maximum, reflecting forecast spreads from official and model sources.** Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near 32°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity; recent model runs and local meteorological bureau guidance show 32°C as the baseline under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, while stronger insolation or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34°C. Thunderstorm timing, cloud cover, and any residual steering influences from upstream systems introduce the main uncertainty, as afternoon convection often caps peaks. Historical August variability and current ensemble spreads support the narrow probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the final verified observation from Shenzhen’s official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$536结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C for Shenzhen’s August 16 daily maximum, reflecting forecast spreads from official and model sources.** Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near 32°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity; recent model runs and local meteorological bureau guidance show 32°C as the baseline under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, while stronger insolation or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34°C. Thunderstorm timing, cloud cover, and any residual steering influences from upstream systems introduce the main uncertainty, as afternoon convection often caps peaks. Historical August variability and current ensemble spreads support the narrow probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the final verified observation from Shenzhen’s official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$536结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C for Shenzhen’s August 16 daily maximum, reflecting forecast spreads from official and model sources.** Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near 32°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity; recent model runs and local meteorological bureau guidance show 32°C as the baseline under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, while stronger insolation or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34°C. Thunderstorm timing, cloud cover, and any residual steering influences from upstream systems introduce the main uncertainty, as afternoon convection often caps peaks. Historical August variability and current ensemble spreads support the narrow probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the final verified observation from Shenzhen’s official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题