Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日吉达的最高温度？
8月16日吉达的最高温度？
41°C或更高 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
8%
39°C
11%
40°C
22%
41°C或更高
56%
41°C或更高 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C或以下
$372 交易量
<1%
32°C
$372 交易量
<1%
33°C
$372 交易量
<1%
34°C
$96 交易量
<1%
35°C
$32 交易量
<1%
36°C
$18 交易量
<1%
37°C
$10 交易量
3%
38°C
$24 交易量
8%
39°C
$0 交易量
11%
40°C
$52 交易量
22%
41°C或更高
$77 交易量
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,426结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,426结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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