Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a mostly cloudy day on August 14 with a projected maximum of 34°C and low (20%) precipitation chances, while broader model consensus and historical August climatology for Incheon/Seoul point to highs of 31–33°C amid moderating late-summer patterns and lingering humidity. These conditions, including potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that limit radiative heating, create tight uncertainty between the market's leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance notes typical seasonal decline in daily maxima from early-August peaks, with steering patterns and moisture levels as key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on timing of any convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 25%
34°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 25%
34°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a mostly cloudy day on August 14 with a projected maximum of 34°C and low (20%) precipitation chances, while broader model consensus and historical August climatology for Incheon/Seoul point to highs of 31–33°C amid moderating late-summer patterns and lingering humidity. These conditions, including potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that limit radiative heating, create tight uncertainty between the market's leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance notes typical seasonal decline in daily maxima from early-August peaks, with steering patterns and moisture levels as key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on timing of any convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题