Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 16 most likely reaching 29 or 30 degrees Celsius, reflecting typical mid-August conditions during the southwest monsoon season. Consensus among forecast models points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon showers that could moderate peak readings through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of convective activity, local wind patterns from the monsoon trough, and urban heat effects in the metro area, which can add 1–2 degrees in built-up zones. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies allow a brief spike to 31 degrees or persistent rain keeps readings closer to 29.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日马尼拉的最高温度?
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 16 most likely reaching 29 or 30 degrees Celsius, reflecting typical mid-August conditions during the southwest monsoon season. Consensus among forecast models points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon showers that could moderate peak readings through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of convective activity, local wind patterns from the monsoon trough, and urban heat effects in the metro area, which can add 1–2 degrees in built-up zones. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies allow a brief spike to 31 degrees or persistent rain keeps readings closer to 29.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题