The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月17日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,101 交易量
$51,101 交易量
2026-08-17
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,101 交易量
$51,101 交易量
2026-08-17
23°C或以下
$199 交易量
否
24°C
$456 交易量
否
25°C
$706 交易量
否
26°C
$2,451 交易量
否
27°C
$4,306 交易量
否
28°C
$21,431 交易量
否
29°C
$5,574 交易量
否
30°C
$5,748 交易量
是
31°C
$3,519 交易量
否
32°C
$4,597 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$2,114 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$51,101结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,101结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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