Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日勒克瑙的最高温度?
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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