Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日多伦多气温最高?
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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