Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 26 point to a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, though model runs differ on cloud cover and shower timing that could cap temperatures 1–3°C lower. Persistent moisture from the rainy season, combined with the city's high elevation and urban heat island dynamics, creates narrow margins between bins. Afternoon convection may suppress peaks if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, while clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 24–25°C. With all outcomes near 50% implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日墨西哥城气温最高?
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
28°C或更高 18%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
36%
26°C
18%
27°C
17%
28°C或更高
18%
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
28°C或更高 18%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
36%
26°C
18%
27°C
17%
28°C或更高
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 26 point to a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, though model runs differ on cloud cover and shower timing that could cap temperatures 1–3°C lower. Persistent moisture from the rainy season, combined with the city's high elevation and urban heat island dynamics, creates narrow margins between bins. Afternoon convection may suppress peaks if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, while clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 24–25°C. With all outcomes near 50% implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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