**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on August 17, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.** Persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and moderate humidity levels have produced stable daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or urban heat island amplification exceeding seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, consistent with historical August patterns where daily maxima in the city typically range 26–29°C but can settle lower under fresher maritime influence. With resolution imminent, traders assign negligible probability to deviations because confirmed station data and nowcasting align closely with 25°C. Only an unforecasted late-day surge from localized convection or measurement revision at official sites could realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,511 交易量
$33,511 交易量
2026-08-17
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,511 交易量
$33,511 交易量
2026-08-17
21°C or below
$623 交易量
No
22°C
$570 交易量
No
23°C
$548 交易量
No
24°C
$888 交易量
No
25°C
$8,333 交易量
Yes
26°C
$9,299 交易量
No
27°C
$7,277 交易量
No
28°C
$1,554 交易量
No
29°C
$956 交易量
No
30°C
$1,207 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$2,255 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on August 17, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.** Persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and moderate humidity levels have produced stable daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or urban heat island amplification exceeding seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, consistent with historical August patterns where daily maxima in the city typically range 26–29°C but can settle lower under fresher maritime influence. With resolution imminent, traders assign negligible probability to deviations because confirmed station data and nowcasting align closely with 25°C. Only an unforecasted late-day surge from localized convection or measurement revision at official sites could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$33,511结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on August 17, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.** Persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and moderate humidity levels have produced stable daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or urban heat island amplification exceeding seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, consistent with historical August patterns where daily maxima in the city typically range 26–29°C but can settle lower under fresher maritime influence. With resolution imminent, traders assign negligible probability to deviations because confirmed station data and nowcasting align closely with 25°C. Only an unforecasted late-day surge from localized convection or measurement revision at official sites could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,511结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on August 17, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.** Persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and moderate humidity levels have produced stable daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or urban heat island amplification exceeding seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, consistent with historical August patterns where daily maxima in the city typically range 26–29°C but can settle lower under fresher maritime influence. With resolution imminent, traders assign negligible probability to deviations because confirmed station data and nowcasting align closely with 25°C. Only an unforecasted late-day surge from localized convection or measurement revision at official sites could realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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