Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日成都气温最高？
8月17日成都气温最高？
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 交易量
$145,830 交易量
2026-08-17
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 交易量
$145,830 交易量
2026-08-17
23°C or below
$16,339 交易量
No
24°C
$18,340 交易量
No
25°C
$21,680 交易量
No
26°C
$36,527 交易量
No
27°C
$22,839 交易量
Yes
28°C
$6,372 交易量
No
29°C
$5,242 交易量
No
30°C
$4,658 交易量
No
31°C
$3,421 交易量
No
32°C
$4,573 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$5,838 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$145,830结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$145,830结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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