Recent official forecasts from China's meteorological services project a daily maximum of 33°C in Beijing on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges support peaks near this threshold when subtropical moisture remains offshore. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction runs shows minimal spread around this value, reinforcing trader confidence in the 33°C resolution. Uncertainties that could shift outcomes include rapid convective development from unexpected monsoon influences or station-specific measurement differences at official sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the close of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日北京气温最高？
8月17日北京气温最高？
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,794 交易量
$70,794 交易量
2026-08-17
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,794 交易量
$70,794 交易量
2026-08-17
27°C or below
$2,169 交易量
No
28°C
$3,509 交易量
No
29°C
$2,612 交易量
No
30°C
$4,027 交易量
No
31°C
$17,975 交易量
No
32°C
$17,824 交易量
No
33°C
$10,678 交易量
Yes
34°C
$6,870 交易量
No
35°C
$2,429 交易量
No
36°C
$2,027 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$674 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's meteorological services project a daily maximum of 33°C in Beijing on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges support peaks near this threshold when subtropical moisture remains offshore. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction runs shows minimal spread around this value, reinforcing trader confidence in the 33°C resolution. Uncertainties that could shift outcomes include rapid convective development from unexpected monsoon influences or station-specific measurement differences at official sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$70,794结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's meteorological services project a daily maximum of 33°C in Beijing on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges support peaks near this threshold when subtropical moisture remains offshore. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction runs shows minimal spread around this value, reinforcing trader confidence in the 33°C resolution. Uncertainties that could shift outcomes include rapid convective development from unexpected monsoon influences or station-specific measurement differences at official sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,794结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from China's meteorological services project a daily maximum of 33°C in Beijing on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges support peaks near this threshold when subtropical moisture remains offshore. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction runs shows minimal spread around this value, reinforcing trader confidence in the 33°C resolution. Uncertainties that could shift outcomes include rapid convective development from unexpected monsoon influences or station-specific measurement differences at official sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the close of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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