Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 18 under sunny skies, light east-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with an ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced 14 days of 100°F+ readings this September. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and heat indices above 100°F, positioning the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins as the dominant market outcomes given their alignment with the narrow forecast range. Historical averages near 90.5°F and a 100°F record underscore the elevated baseline, while the absence of an approaching cold front or significant moisture limits downside risk to lower bins and caps upside potential near 101°F. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 45%
100-101°F 6%
94-95°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91华氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
2%
104-105华氏度
<1%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 45%
100-101°F 6%
94-95°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
$174 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$474 交易量
<1%
90-91华氏度
$125 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$86 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,388 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$2,758 交易量
45%
98-99°F
$2,799 交易量
51%
100-101°F
$1,113 交易量
6%
102-103°F
$144 交易量
2%
104-105华氏度
$255 交易量
<1%
106华氏度或更高
$461 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 18 under sunny skies, light east-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with an ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced 14 days of 100°F+ readings this September. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and heat indices above 100°F, positioning the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins as the dominant market outcomes given their alignment with the narrow forecast range. Historical averages near 90.5°F and a 100°F record underscore the elevated baseline, while the absence of an approaching cold front or significant moisture limits downside risk to lower bins and caps upside potential near 101°F. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,776结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 18 under sunny skies, light east-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with an ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced 14 days of 100°F+ readings this September. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and heat indices above 100°F, positioning the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins as the dominant market outcomes given their alignment with the narrow forecast range. Historical averages near 90.5°F and a 100°F record underscore the elevated baseline, while the absence of an approaching cold front or significant moisture limits downside risk to lower bins and caps upside potential near 101°F. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,776结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 18 under sunny skies, light east-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with an ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced 14 days of 100°F+ readings this September. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and heat indices above 100°F, positioning the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins as the dominant market outcomes given their alignment with the narrow forecast range. Historical averages near 90.5°F and a 100°F record underscore the elevated baseline, while the absence of an approaching cold front or significant moisture limits downside risk to lower bins and caps upside potential near 101°F. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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