The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Arizona’s 5th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the outcome of the July 21 primaries. Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement, overcoming a well-funded primary challenge from Daniel Keenan despite late allegations of misconduct. On the Democratic side, Elizabeth Lee emerged as the nominee. The East Valley district, which includes Gilbert and portions of Chandler and Mesa, has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent Republican winning 60% in 2024 before retiring to pursue the governorship. Traders reflect this structural edge plus the absence of competitive polling or major late developments that would narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,172 交易量
$24,172 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$24,172 交易量
$24,172 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,517 交易量
88%
民主党
$7,656 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Arizona’s 5th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the outcome of the July 21 primaries. Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement, overcoming a well-funded primary challenge from Daniel Keenan despite late allegations of misconduct. On the Democratic side, Elizabeth Lee emerged as the nominee. The East Valley district, which includes Gilbert and portions of Chandler and Mesa, has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent Republican winning 60% in 2024 before retiring to pursue the governorship. Traders reflect this structural edge plus the absence of competitive polling or major late developments that would narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$24,172结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Arizona’s 5th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the outcome of the July 21 primaries. Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement, overcoming a well-funded primary challenge from Daniel Keenan despite late allegations of misconduct. On the Democratic side, Elizabeth Lee emerged as the nominee. The East Valley district, which includes Gilbert and portions of Chandler and Mesa, has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent Republican winning 60% in 2024 before retiring to pursue the governorship. Traders reflect this structural edge plus the absence of competitive polling or major late developments that would narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,172结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Arizona’s 5th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the outcome of the July 21 primaries. Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement, overcoming a well-funded primary challenge from Daniel Keenan despite late allegations of misconduct. On the Democratic side, Elizabeth Lee emerged as the nominee. The East Valley district, which includes Gilbert and portions of Chandler and Mesa, has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent Republican winning 60% in 2024 before retiring to pursue the governorship. Traders reflect this structural edge plus the absence of competitive polling or major late developments that would narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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