Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Lieu advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Strong name recognition, fundraising edges, and a record of large margins in prior cycles underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic win. The rating remains Solid Democratic across major forecasters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as candidate health events or scandals capable of altering turnout in this heavily Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,493 交易量
$32,493 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$32,493 交易量
$32,493 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$5,949 交易量
95%
共和党
$26,545 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Lieu advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Strong name recognition, fundraising edges, and a record of large margins in prior cycles underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic win. The rating remains Solid Democratic across major forecasters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as candidate health events or scandals capable of altering turnout in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,493结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Lieu advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Strong name recognition, fundraising edges, and a record of large margins in prior cycles underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic win. The rating remains Solid Democratic across major forecasters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as candidate health events or scandals capable of altering turnout in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,493结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Lieu advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Strong name recognition, fundraising edges, and a record of large margins in prior cycles underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic win. The rating remains Solid Democratic across major forecasters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as candidate health events or scandals capable of altering turnout in this heavily Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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