California's 37th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its D+33 or greater partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages favoring Democrats. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the top-two primary in June 2026 and faces limited general election opposition on November 3, 2026, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of a viable Republican contender in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on the party's dominant position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain narrow and would likely require significant late developments such as major redistricting changes, an unexpected scandal, or an extraordinary national political shift, none of which have materialized in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主党
$2,044 交易量
96%
共和党
$1,356 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its D+33 or greater partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages favoring Democrats. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the top-two primary in June 2026 and faces limited general election opposition on November 3, 2026, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of a viable Republican contender in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on the party's dominant position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain narrow and would likely require significant late developments such as major redistricting changes, an unexpected scandal, or an extraordinary national political shift, none of which have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its D+33 or greater partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages favoring Democrats. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the top-two primary in June 2026 and faces limited general election opposition on November 3, 2026, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of a viable Republican contender in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on the party's dominant position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain narrow and would likely require significant late developments such as major redistricting changes, an unexpected scandal, or an extraordinary national political shift, none of which have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its D+33 or greater partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages favoring Democrats. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the top-two primary in June 2026 and faces limited general election opposition on November 3, 2026, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of a viable Republican contender in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on the party's dominant position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain narrow and would likely require significant late developments such as major redistricting changes, an unexpected scandal, or an extraordinary national political shift, none of which have materialized in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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