Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple surveys from spring and early summer 2026, including a June Normington Petts poll, showed Mendoza ahead by 2–3 points in head-to-head matchups, with her lead expanding after voters received balanced candidate information. The competitive district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through July 21 primaries, with Mendoza demonstrating strong fundraising and Ciscomani facing unfavorable job-approval ratings near 29 percent favorable. These factors, combined with the district’s recent narrow margins, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts from late advertising, turnout, or additional polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,198 交易量
$10,198 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
83%
共和党
18%
$10,198 交易量
$10,198 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,889 交易量
83%
共和党
$6,309 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple surveys from spring and early summer 2026, including a June Normington Petts poll, showed Mendoza ahead by 2–3 points in head-to-head matchups, with her lead expanding after voters received balanced candidate information. The competitive district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through July 21 primaries, with Mendoza demonstrating strong fundraising and Ciscomani facing unfavorable job-approval ratings near 29 percent favorable. These factors, combined with the district’s recent narrow margins, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts from late advertising, turnout, or additional polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$10,198结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple surveys from spring and early summer 2026, including a June Normington Petts poll, showed Mendoza ahead by 2–3 points in head-to-head matchups, with her lead expanding after voters received balanced candidate information. The competitive district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through July 21 primaries, with Mendoza demonstrating strong fundraising and Ciscomani facing unfavorable job-approval ratings near 29 percent favorable. These factors, combined with the district’s recent narrow margins, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts from late advertising, turnout, or additional polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,198结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple surveys from spring and early summer 2026, including a June Normington Petts poll, showed Mendoza ahead by 2–3 points in head-to-head matchups, with her lead expanding after voters received balanced candidate information. The competitive district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and race ratings ranging from toss-up to lean Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through July 21 primaries, with Mendoza demonstrating strong fundraising and Ciscomani facing unfavorable job-approval ratings near 29 percent favorable. These factors, combined with the district’s recent narrow margins, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts from late advertising, turnout, or additional polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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