Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader assessments for Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, following her decisive primary victory on August 11 that sets up a rematch with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district's narrow 2024 margin, where Van Orden prevailed by roughly three points, combined with a June 2026 poll showing Cooke ahead by four points, has shaped expectations. National midterm dynamics and Cooke's fundraising and name recognition in the competitive swing district further support the current consensus, though the race remains sensitive to broader electoral shifts and turnout patterns in this R-leaning but battleground seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
71%
共和党
27%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,603 交易量
71%
共和党
$1,521 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader assessments for Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, following her decisive primary victory on August 11 that sets up a rematch with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district's narrow 2024 margin, where Van Orden prevailed by roughly three points, combined with a June 2026 poll showing Cooke ahead by four points, has shaped expectations. National midterm dynamics and Cooke's fundraising and name recognition in the competitive swing district further support the current consensus, though the race remains sensitive to broader electoral shifts and turnout patterns in this R-leaning but battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$4,124结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader assessments for Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, following her decisive primary victory on August 11 that sets up a rematch with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district's narrow 2024 margin, where Van Orden prevailed by roughly three points, combined with a June 2026 poll showing Cooke ahead by four points, has shaped expectations. National midterm dynamics and Cooke's fundraising and name recognition in the competitive swing district further support the current consensus, though the race remains sensitive to broader electoral shifts and turnout patterns in this R-leaning but battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,124结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader assessments for Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, following her decisive primary victory on August 11 that sets up a rematch with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district's narrow 2024 margin, where Van Orden prevailed by roughly three points, combined with a June 2026 poll showing Cooke ahead by four points, has shaped expectations. National midterm dynamics and Cooke's fundraising and name recognition in the competitive swing district further support the current consensus, though the race remains sensitive to broader electoral shifts and turnout patterns in this R-leaning but battleground seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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