Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
微軟 <1%
$44,289 交易量
$44,289 交易量

Anthropic
93%

OpenAI
6%

1%

微軟
1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meta
<1%

阿里巴巴
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Thinky
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

騰訊
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
微軟 <1%
$44,289 交易量
$44,289 交易量

Anthropic
93%

OpenAI
6%

1%

微軟
1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meta
<1%

阿里巴巴
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Thinky
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

騰訊
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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