**Chinese labs' cost-efficient open-weight models continue to dominate OpenRouter token volume, creating a tight race for third place behind Tencent and DeepSeek.** Recent data through early September 2026 shows Tencent's Hy4 preview and Z.ai's GLM 5.3 Flash surging on agentic and high-throughput workloads, while DeepSeek V4 Flash variants hold steady shares. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna maintains solid but secondary positioning after earlier discounts boosted its volumes without fully closing the gap on price-sensitive developer traffic. Market-implied odds around 55% for OpenAI reflect trader views that U.S. frontier models could still claim third if usage patterns shift late in the week, yet fragmented Chinese competition—Z.ai, MiniMax, Xiaomi, and Qwen—keeps outcomes contested. Key catalysts include ongoing agentic workload growth and any final-week model promotions or stability updates that could swing shares before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 68%
Z.ai 18%
Google 12%
騰訊 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
OpenAI
55%
Z.ai
18%
12%
騰訊
11%
DeepSeek
9%
Meta
5%
xAI
5%
小米
5%
MiniMax
5%
Nvidia
5%
Qwen
5%
Anthropic
5%
OpenAI 68%
Z.ai 18%
Google 12%
騰訊 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
OpenAI
$132 交易量
55%
Z.ai
$18 交易量
18%
$18 交易量
12%
騰訊
$116 交易量
11%
DeepSeek
$108 交易量
9%
Meta
$18 交易量
5%
xAI
$66 交易量
5%
小米
$18 交易量
5%
MiniMax
$18 交易量
5%
Nvidia
$91 交易量
5%
Qwen
$18 交易量
5%
Anthropic
$18 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.**Chinese labs' cost-efficient open-weight models continue to dominate OpenRouter token volume, creating a tight race for third place behind Tencent and DeepSeek.** Recent data through early September 2026 shows Tencent's Hy4 preview and Z.ai's GLM 5.3 Flash surging on agentic and high-throughput workloads, while DeepSeek V4 Flash variants hold steady shares. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna maintains solid but secondary positioning after earlier discounts boosted its volumes without fully closing the gap on price-sensitive developer traffic.
Market-implied odds around 55% for OpenAI reflect trader views that U.S. frontier models could still claim third if usage patterns shift late in the week, yet fragmented Chinese competition—Z.ai, MiniMax, Xiaomi, and Qwen—keeps outcomes contested. Key catalysts include ongoing agentic workload growth and any final-week model promotions or stability updates that could swing shares before resolution.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
交易量
$639結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.**Chinese labs' cost-efficient open-weight models continue to dominate OpenRouter token volume, creating a tight race for third place behind Tencent and DeepSeek.** Recent data through early September 2026 shows Tencent's Hy4 preview and Z.ai's GLM 5.3 Flash surging on agentic and high-throughput workloads, while DeepSeek V4 Flash variants hold steady shares. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna maintains solid but secondary positioning after earlier discounts boosted its volumes without fully closing the gap on price-sensitive developer traffic.
Market-implied odds around 55% for OpenAI reflect trader views that U.S. frontier models could still claim third if usage patterns shift late in the week, yet fragmented Chinese competition—Z.ai, MiniMax, Xiaomi, and Qwen—keeps outcomes contested. Key catalysts include ongoing agentic workload growth and any final-week model promotions or stability updates that could swing shares before resolution.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
交易量
$639結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET**Chinese labs' cost-efficient open-weight models continue to dominate OpenRouter token volume, creating a tight race for third place behind Tencent and DeepSeek.** Recent data through early September 2026 shows Tencent's Hy4 preview and Z.ai's GLM 5.3 Flash surging on agentic and high-throughput workloads, while DeepSeek V4 Flash variants hold steady shares. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna maintains solid but secondary positioning after earlier discounts boosted its volumes without fully closing the gap on price-sensitive developer traffic. Market-implied odds around 55% for OpenAI reflect trader views that U.S. frontier models could still claim third if usage patterns shift late in the week, yet fragmented Chinese competition—Z.ai, MiniMax, Xiaomi, and Qwen—keeps outcomes contested. Key catalysts include ongoing agentic workload growth and any final-week model promotions or stability updates that could swing shares before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions