Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 77%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 交易量
$186,167 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
77%
OpenAI
20%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
亞馬遜
<1%
Meta
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
百度
<1%
Mistral
<1%
美團
<1%
微軟
<1%
小米
<1%
Anthropic 77%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 交易量
$186,167 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
$49,073 交易量
77%
OpenAI
$26,905 交易量
20%
$7,587 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$7,270 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,823 交易量
<1%
亞馬遜
$7,199 交易量
<1%
Meta
$7,501 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$7,262 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$7,712 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$7,134 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$7,197 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$7,266 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$7,071 交易量
<1%
百度
$7,188 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$7,052 交易量
<1%
美團
$7,148 交易量
<1%
微軟
$7,241 交易量
<1%
小米
$539 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
交易量
$186,167結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$186,167結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETAnthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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