Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc secured a narrow parliamentary majority in the September 13, 2026, election, leading the Tidö parties 176–173 in preliminary counts after volatile vote tabulation. SVT’s election model assessed the opposition’s edge as effectively secure once 99 percent of ballots were tallied, with late advance and overseas votes unlikely to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown the opposition ahead for months, though the gap narrowed in August; the final seat distribution aligned with those trends and reflected voter priorities on economic conditions, security, and immigration. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for an opposition margin of three to four seats reflects this confirmed preliminary result. A reversal remains possible only if the final official tally from county boards produces an unprecedented swing in the remaining ballots.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於反對黨贏得3-4席 96.7%
反對派領先1-2席 1.4%
Tidö贏1–2席 <1%
反對黨領先5–6席 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
反對黨多贏7席以上
<1%
反對黨領先5–6席
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席
97%
反對派領先1-2席
1%
Tidö贏1–2席
1%
Tidö領先3–4席
<1%
Tidö多贏5席以上
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席 96.7%
反對派領先1-2席 1.4%
Tidö贏1–2席 <1%
反對黨領先5–6席 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
反對黨多贏7席以上
$710 交易量
<1%
反對黨領先5–6席
$205 交易量
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席
$2,359 交易量
97%
反對派領先1-2席
$1,807 交易量
1%
Tidö贏1–2席
$868 交易量
1%
Tidö領先3–4席
$426 交易量
<1%
Tidö多贏5席以上
$29 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc secured a narrow parliamentary majority in the September 13, 2026, election, leading the Tidö parties 176–173 in preliminary counts after volatile vote tabulation. SVT’s election model assessed the opposition’s edge as effectively secure once 99 percent of ballots were tallied, with late advance and overseas votes unlikely to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown the opposition ahead for months, though the gap narrowed in August; the final seat distribution aligned with those trends and reflected voter priorities on economic conditions, security, and immigration. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for an opposition margin of three to four seats reflects this confirmed preliminary result. A reversal remains possible only if the final official tally from county boards produces an unprecedented swing in the remaining ballots.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
交易量
$6,404結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETParliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc secured a narrow parliamentary majority in the September 13, 2026, election, leading the Tidö parties 176–173 in preliminary counts after volatile vote tabulation. SVT’s election model assessed the opposition’s edge as effectively secure once 99 percent of ballots were tallied, with late advance and overseas votes unlikely to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown the opposition ahead for months, though the gap narrowed in August; the final seat distribution aligned with those trends and reflected voter priorities on economic conditions, security, and immigration. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for an opposition margin of three to four seats reflects this confirmed preliminary result. A reversal remains possible only if the final official tally from county boards produces an unprecedented swing in the remaining ballots.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$6,404結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETSweden’s centre-left opposition bloc secured a narrow parliamentary majority in the September 13, 2026, election, leading the Tidö parties 176–173 in preliminary counts after volatile vote tabulation. SVT’s election model assessed the opposition’s edge as effectively secure once 99 percent of ballots were tallied, with late advance and overseas votes unlikely to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown the opposition ahead for months, though the gap narrowed in August; the final seat distribution aligned with those trends and reflected voter priorities on economic conditions, security, and immigration. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for an opposition margin of three to four seats reflects this confirmed preliminary result. A reversal remains possible only if the final official tally from county boards produces an unprecedented swing in the remaining ballots.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions