Recent Swedish opinion polls show Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna trading narrow leads in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping their projected vote totals closely aligned within the broader red-green opposition and Tidö governing blocs. Fluctuations in support for these smaller parties reflect shifting voter priorities on environmental policy, family and values issues, and overall bloc performance amid a left-leaning national trend. KD has posted modest recent gains in some surveys while MP maintains steady backing near 6-7 percent, sustaining competitive balance. Developments such as coalition negotiations, economic indicators, or targeted campaign events in the final weeks could alter turnout or preferences enough to shift the implied probability either direction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於MP
47% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
MP
47% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna trading narrow leads in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping their projected vote totals closely aligned within the broader red-green opposition and Tidö governing blocs. Fluctuations in support for these smaller parties reflect shifting voter priorities on environmental policy, family and values issues, and overall bloc performance amid a left-leaning national trend. KD has posted modest recent gains in some surveys while MP maintains steady backing near 6-7 percent, sustaining competitive balance. Developments such as coalition negotiations, economic indicators, or targeted campaign events in the final weeks could alter turnout or preferences enough to shift the implied probability either direction.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
交易量
$102結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna trading narrow leads in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping their projected vote totals closely aligned within the broader red-green opposition and Tidö governing blocs. Fluctuations in support for these smaller parties reflect shifting voter priorities on environmental policy, family and values issues, and overall bloc performance amid a left-leaning national trend. KD has posted modest recent gains in some surveys while MP maintains steady backing near 6-7 percent, sustaining competitive balance. Developments such as coalition negotiations, economic indicators, or targeted campaign events in the final weeks could alter turnout or preferences enough to shift the implied probability either direction.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$102結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls show Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna trading narrow leads in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping their projected vote totals closely aligned within the broader red-green opposition and Tidö governing blocs. Fluctuations in support for these smaller parties reflect shifting voter priorities on environmental policy, family and values issues, and overall bloc performance amid a left-leaning national trend. KD has posted modest recent gains in some surveys while MP maintains steady backing near 6-7 percent, sustaining competitive balance. Developments such as coalition negotiations, economic indicators, or targeted campaign events in the final weeks could alter turnout or preferences enough to shift the implied probability either direction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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